Daily

  • 16February2026

    Inflation remained above 2%

    Economic Analysis Daily

    In today's Eyeopener:

    - Today Eurozone industrial production data
    - Polish CPI inflation was 2.2% y/y in January, less than in December, more than expected
    - Poland’s current account deficit deepened to €1.7bn in December
    - Marginal changes in the foreign currency market, small rise in domestic market interest rates

  • 13February2026

    CPI below 2% in January?

    Economic Analysis Daily

    In today's Eyeopener

    - Today January inflation in Poland
    - 4Q25 GDP advanced by 4.0% y/y, in line with the consensus
    - MPC’s Kotecki: cut by 25bp in March highly probable
    - Minor changes on the FX market, Polish bonds gained markedly 

  • 12February2026

    Today 4Q25 GDP

    Economic Analysis Daily

    In today's Eyeopener

    - Today data on 4Q25 GDP growth
    - Marked rise in US NFP in January, but 2025 was revised significantly down
    - MPC’s Marcin Zarzecki and Gabriela Masłowska thought 3.50% was a reasonable target rate
    - Stable zloty, no changes on the debt market
     

  • 11February2026

    Natural gas prices slightly down

    Economic Analysis Daily

    In today's Eyeopener

    - Today January US labour market data
    - MPC’s Litwiniuk and Wnorowski point to 3.50% as possible target rate
    - URE (energy market regulator) lowered natural gas tariff price by 3.4%
    - Slight correction on the FX market, stronger debt market 

  • 10February2026

    High wage growth in 4Q25

    Economic Analysis Daily

    In today's Eyeopener

    - Today US retail sales data 
    - Adam Glapiński: this year inflation will remain withing the tolerance band, probably below 2.5%
    - Unemployment rate in January at 6.0%, in line with expectations
    - Average wage in 4Q25 rose by 8.5% y/y, slightly above our forecast and NBP projection
    - CEE currencies stronger than before the weekend, bond yields slightly down