Daily

  • 2March2026

    Conflict in the Middle East lifts uncertainty

    Economic Analysis Daily

    In today's Eyeopener:

    • Today, manufacturing PMIs and Poland’s 4Q GDP data
    • Government presented information on the allocation of funds from the SAFE programme
    • Muted first market reaction to the conflict in the Middle East
  • 27February2026

    Economic Sentiment Indicators lower, but still solid

    Economic Analysis Daily

    In today's Eyeopener:

    - Today, preliminary estimates of German and French inflation for February
    - ESIs for Poland and the euro area moved lower in February, but remain at solid levels
    - Markets unsettled by US–Iran negotiations; the zloty and domestic 2Y bonds under pressure

  • 26February2026

    A modest decline in Poland’s HICP inflation in January

    Economic Analysis Daily

    In today's Eyeopener:

    - Today, the Economic Sentiment Indicators for EU countries
    - Dąbrowski of the MPC: 3.5% is a good target level for the NBP rate
    - Poland’s HICP inflation fell in January to 2.5% y/y; in the euro area it declined to 1.7% y/y
    - A temporary weakening of the zloty; 10‑year domestic bonds slightly stronger

  • 25February2026

    Budget deficit in 2025 below plan

    Economic Analysis Daily

    In today's Eyeopener:

    - Today, January HICP inflation data
    - LFS data: employment up 0.6% y/y in 4Q last year
    - NBP Governor: under the new projection, inflation will remain close to target for two years
    - According to preliminary estimates, the 2025 budget deficit was PLN13bn below plan
    - Zloty stronger, slight strengthening of longer-dated bonds

  • 24February2026

    Retail sales growth remains solid

    Economic Analysis Daily

    In today's Eyeopener:

    - Today, the Statistical Bulletin, including LFS data for 4Q25
    - Retail sales surprised to the upside, rising by 4.4% y/y in January
    - The European Parliament has suspended the ratification of the trade agreement with the US
    - Zloty stronger; only a limited market reaction to the annulment of the IEEPA tariffs introduced by D. Trump