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Daily

  • 20February2026

    Cold January full of downside surprises

    Economic Analysis Daily

    In today's Eyeopener:

    - Today flash PMI readings for February, 4Q GDP and the December PCE inflation in the US
    - Sub-zero industrial and construction output growth in January, below expectations
    - Slower-than-expected wage growth, a stronger fall in producer prices
    - Weaker zloty, market rates edged higher

  • 19February2026

    A set of January data is due today

    Economic Analysis Daily

    In today's Eyeopener:

    - Today January data on labour market, activity in industry and construction
    - In February, consumers assessed better their current situation, but lowered expectations a bit
    - MF expects investment growth of 10-11% in 2026
    - EURPLN still between 4.21 and 4.22, no significant changes in Polish bond yields

  • 18February2026

    Stable property prices

    Economic Analysis Daily

    In today's Eyeopener:

    - Today February consumer confidence, US industrial and housing data, January FOMC minutes
    - Dąbrowski (MPC) would prefer a rate cut in April rather than March, sees target for NBP rate at 3.5%
    - Property prices remained stable in 4Q25
    - CEE currencies slightly weaker, bond yields lower

  • 17February2026

    The budget starts the year in deficit

    Economic Analysis Daily

    In today's Eyeopener:

    - Today inflation data and the ZEW economic sentiment survey in Germany
    - Budget deficit amounted to PLN3.7bn after January
    - Złoty stable, a slight rise in domestic bond yields

  • 16February2026

    Inflation remained above 2%

    Economic Analysis Daily

    In today's Eyeopener:

    - Today Eurozone industrial production data
    - Polish CPI inflation was 2.2% y/y in January, less than in December, more than expected
    - Poland’s current account deficit deepened to €1.7bn in December
    - Marginal changes in the foreign currency market, small rise in domestic market interest rates